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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
freeman123RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)83% (586–116, n=702)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$85K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #753PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus100% (4 of 4 open)64% (94 of 148 open)72% (74 of 103 open)62% (18 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicOther Sports −6 pts, n=26———
Settled positions, side won95% of 601 at avg 84¢, ROI +12%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢0% (won 100% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 80% of 64)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up89% (won 96% of 535)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfreeman123RN1BreakTheBankprimm
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $5.5KBrowns $255K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $192Raiders $171K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $11KCardinals $59K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400Raiders $17K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9KFalcons $8.6K—
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $1.8K—Buccaneers $4.3K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $847—Bills $4.5K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $591—Buccaneers $2.0K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Under $1.2K
Spread: Raiders (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $2.1K—Raiders $138
Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $321—Buccaneers $1.6K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.6K—Under $65
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $211—Browns $471
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3KRaiders $104K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714Cardinals $35K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1KRaiders $24K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643Jaguars $20K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6.9K—Under $2.8K
Spread: Bills (-7.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $1.5K—Bills $4.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.9K—Over $1.1K
Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
—Buccaneers $1.3K—Buccaneers $1.5K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $1.7K—Bills $988
Spread: Jaguars (-14.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $1.8K—Jaguars $4
Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $90—Buccaneers $1.5K
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $258—Under $828
Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $546—Over $2