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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| kaxel78 | RN1 | sainttroplay | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 42% (357–495, n=852) | 47% (13346–14851, n=28197) | no settled market | 50% (19547–19609, n=39156) |
| Consensus PnL | $142K | $14.8M | — | $3.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #66 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | — | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 53% (10 of 19 open) | 65% (24 of 37 open) | no open consensus position | 70% (33 of 47 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | Politics −1 pts, n=12 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 409 at avg 45¢, ROI +8% | 94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | — | 100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 53% (won 2% of 216) | 10% (won 57% of 2606) | — | 7% (won 99% of 2777) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 2% (won 60% of 10) | 22% (won 94% of 5665) | — | 20% (won 100% of 8217) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 2% (won 50% of 10) | 36% (won 99% of 9185) | — | 22% (won 100% of 8818) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 42% (won 96% of 173) | 32% (won 100% of 8345) | — | 51% (won 100% of 20793) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | kaxel78 | RN1 | sainttroplay | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $943 | — | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $382 | — | Under $7.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $3.1K | — | No $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | — | Under $5.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.9K | — | Under $2.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | No $2.6K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — | Athletic Club $223 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $35 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.2K | — | Yes $51 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $162 | — | No $288 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — | Athletic Club $347 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $90 | — | No $139 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | — | Over $5 |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | No $3.3K | — | No $3.1K |
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5K | — | No $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $931 |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $44 | — | Boluspor $1.5K |
| CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $56 | — | Under $44 |