← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lissartter | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (3353–3506, n=6859) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$191K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #320 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 54% (62 of 114 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | NHL −10 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 4796 at avg 65¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 30% of 894) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 74% of 490) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 88% of 737) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 2675) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.