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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RN1 | TMingchan | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 48% (14148–15609, n=29757) | 54% (19–16, n=35) | 50% (20605–20391, n=40996) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.8M | $14.8M | $332 | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #29 + pinned | was PM monthly #552 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (53 of 73 open) | 54% (49 of 90 open) | no open consensus position | 69% (31 of 45 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 17 at avg 49¢, ROI +51% | 100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 10% (won 57% of 2588) | 0% | 7% (won 99% of 2699) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 22% (won 94% of 5673) | 47% (won 100% of 8) | 20% (won 100% of 7974) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 35% (won 99% of 9163) | 53% (won 100% of 9) | 22% (won 100% of 8588) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 33% (won 100% of 8536) | 0% | 52% (won 100% of 20470) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
4 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | TMingchan | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.6K | — | Under $21K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | — | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | — | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | — | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | — | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | — | Athletic Club $226 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | — | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $1.1K | — | Yes $74 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $192 | — | No $249 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | — | Athletic Club $354 |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $61 | — | No $174 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $29 | — | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | — | Over $5 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | — | No $3.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | — | Under $960 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | — | Under $64 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | — | Under $801 |