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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
wan123RN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)35% (97–179, n=276)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$970K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #244 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus63% (45 of 71 open)62% (91 of 146 open)72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +53 pts n=27, ROI +54%
  • Geopolitics +43 pts n=56, ROI +48%
  • NBA +59 pts n=11, ROI +58%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 158 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 100% of 17)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 51)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢24% (won 100% of 38)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 52)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketwan123RN1BreakTheBank
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $27KJets $192Raiders $171K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $10KCowboys $11KCardinals $59K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $22K—No $252K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $5.5KBrowns $255K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $177K—Yes $37K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $580—Yes $71K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $19K—Yes $38K
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $27KFalcons $1.8K—
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.7K—No $24K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16K—Yes $2.2K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9KFalcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12K—Yes $272K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $866—Yes $169K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3KRaiders $104K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $22K—No $40K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $604—Yes $51K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1KRaiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643Jaguars $20K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5.1K—Yes $4.1K
Titans vs. Bengals
same side · consensus Bengals
Titans $4.0KTitans $658—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $302—No $590