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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| wan123 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 35% (97–179, n=276) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) |
| Consensus PnL | $970K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #244 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (44 of 68 open) | 53% (64 of 120 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 158 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 100% of 17) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 100% of 51) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 100% of 38) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 100% of 52) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | wan123 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | CORGII |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $10K | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $22K | — | No $252K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $177K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $580 | — | Yes $72K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $19K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.7K | — | No $24K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $16K | — | Yes $2.2K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $28K | Bills $378K | — |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $866 | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos same side · consensus Chiefs | Chiefs $26K | — | Chiefs $51K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $18K | Bills $51K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $22K | — | No $40K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $604 | — | Yes $51K | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $5.1K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $302 | — | No $590 | — |