Polymarket smart money: what top traders hold
Markets where at least 5 of about 2,000 top Polymarket traders hold a position: the side most are on, the price and the money behind it.
Live prices
Active markets
Consensus wins
401904
settled in its favour
Consensus losses
154732
settled against it
Win rate
72%
won 401904 of 556636
Traders' own P/L
+$257.5M
their results, not yours
New here? How it works in 3 steps
Read the full explanationWe follow top traders
Around 2,000 wallets: Polymarket's monthly profit top 1,000 plus a hand-picked list, read from public chain data.
5+ holding = a consensus
When five or more hold a market, we show the side most of them hold. A head count, not a probability.
Check the price first
The crowd can be early or wrong, and the price may already say so. It is information, not advice.
Smart money markets · Tennis
Top consensus markets on Polymarket right now
PolyConsensus follows around 2,000 of the best Polymarket traders and shows what they hold. A market gets a consensus when five or more of them have a position in it — 1,593 markets do right now. For each one the list below gives the side most of them hold, how many of the tracked traders are on it, the market's price for that side and the money held. It is a record of who holds what, not a forecast: read how it works for what the numbers do and do not mean. Prices as of .
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?140 of 161 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (87%) · Yes at 95¢ · $5.2M held
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?88 of 136 top Polymarket traders hold No (65%) · No at 64¢ · $4.0M held
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?110 of 132 top Polymarket traders hold No (83%) · No at 84¢ · $4.2M held
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?91 of 113 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (81%) · Yes at 71¢ · $955K held
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?85 of 107 top Polymarket traders hold No (79%) · No at 95¢ · $2.9M held
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?71 of 91 top Polymarket traders hold No (78%) · No at 71¢ · $1.2M held
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House71 of 87 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (82%) · Yes at 72¢ · $5.2M held
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?63 of 83 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (76%) · Yes at 73¢ · $953K held
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?72 of 81 top Polymarket traders hold No (89%) · No at 96¢ · $3.3M held
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?30 of 76 top Polymarket traders hold No (39%) · No at 97¢ · $4.5M held
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House54 of 74 top Polymarket traders hold No (73%) · No at 96¢ · $1.8M held
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?49 of 71 top Polymarket traders hold No (69%) · No at 72¢ · $531K held
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?46 of 69 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (67%) · Yes at 99¢ · $766K held
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?40 of 62 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (65%) · Yes at 44¢ · $568K held
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner32 of 58 top Polymarket traders hold Team Spirit (55%) · Team Spirit at 97¢ · $226K held
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?35 of 60 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (58%) · Yes at 68¢ · $303K held
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?45 of 57 top Polymarket traders hold No (79%) · No at 77¢ · $700K held
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?30 of 58 top Polymarket traders hold No (52%) · No at 68¢ · $303K held
- Iran leadership change by December 31?40 of 54 top Polymarket traders hold No (74%) · No at 87¢ · $474K held
- Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?21 of 55 top Polymarket traders hold No (38%) · No at 49¢ · $238K held
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?50 of 54 top Polymarket traders hold No (93%) · No at 97¢ · $1.1M held
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?30 of 53 top Polymarket traders hold No (57%) · No at 89¢ · $580K held
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?34 of 52 top Polymarket traders hold No (65%) · No at 87¢ · $378K held
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?38 of 51 top Polymarket traders hold Yes (75%) · Yes at 84¢ · $311K held