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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872BreakTheBankndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)66% (3102–1593, n=4695)45% (576–717, n=1293)63% (993–578, n=1571)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL$217K$7.3M$4.8M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528PM monthly #3PM monthly #97PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus68% (19 of 28 open)88% (22 of 25 open)73% (53 of 73 open)69% (31 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1883 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 64)10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 15% of 186)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 170)35% (won 98% of 204)19% (won 39% of 267)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 394)35% (won 100% of 202)23% (won 58% of 326)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 1255)20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 619)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872BreakTheBankndb1UpTheBlues
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $631——No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $652——Over $7
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $225——Athletic Club $226
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $409KNo $337K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.0K——Under $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $289——Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Under $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $459——No $5.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K——No $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.1K——Under $1.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $31——Yes $3.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $75——No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $253——Under $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $937——Under $595
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $445——Under $960
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $775——Athletic Club $354
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $468——Yes $154
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $57——Yes $71
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 2 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $46——No $3