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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)66% (3114–1607, n=4721)52% (6608–6142, n=12750)63% (992–576, n=1568)47% (14228–15728, n=29956)
Consensus PnL$219K$3.6M$3.2M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528PM monthly #10PM monthly #92PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (14 of 19 open)76% (87 of 115 open)70% (52 of 74 open)45% (10 of 22 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won100% of 1883 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 64)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 170)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 394)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 1255)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872Flaznorpndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1KUnder $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $456No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.1KUnder $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $242Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $75No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $981Yes $466—No $529
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $775Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $1.2KNo $14K—No $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $230Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
—Claire Liu $17K—Zeynep Sonmez $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $634Over $1.1K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $631No $494——
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $468No $596——
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
—Diletta Cherubini $282—Ipek Oz $680
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $289——Over $360
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Alexandre Muller
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $6.9K—Yosuke Watanuki $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $432——Under $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $937Under $361——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139—Yes $192
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42