← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (4518–3301, n=7819) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6473–6009, n=12482) | 48% (14112–15590, n=29702) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $7.9M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (16 of 24 open) | 81% (25 of 31 open) | 72% (85 of 118 open) | 49% (19 of 39 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $1.5K | Yes $51K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $13K | Over $1.6K |
| CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $11K | — | Under $254 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $4.4K | Yes $1.9K |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $5.8K | — | No $499 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $586 | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $3.1K | Yes $7 |
| Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | — | Yes $3.0K | No $12 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.6K | Over $36 |
| Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.8K | Yes $26 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $476 | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $466 | No $529 |
| Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $318 | No $359 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | — | — | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $559 | Jesse Flores $40 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | — | Heat $440 | Warriors $109 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $1.2K | Ravens $98K | — | — |
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? same side · consensus Yes | No $45 | No $72K | — | — |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Dplus KIA $33K | — | Dplus KIA $30 | — |
| Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) same side · consensus SE Palmeiras | — | — | SE Palmeiras $21K | SE Palmeiras $8.7K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $14K | No $2.5K |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? same side · consensus No | No $4.5K | No $2.4K | — | — |
| Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello same side · consensus Alice Tubello | Alice Tubello $2.4K | — | Alice Tubello $2.9K | — |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry same side · consensus Luciana Perry | — | — | Sloane Stephens $1.8K | Sloane Stephens $2.2K |
| Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva | — | — | Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1K | Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.5K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $702 | Under $20 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $149 | Under $317 |
| Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $451 | Under $8 |
| SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $274 | Under $134 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $8 | Under $323 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | — | — | Yes $138 | Yes $192 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | — | — | Warriors $174 | Warriors $97 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $176 | Under $42 |