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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGaoJin-GamblingGodHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)47% (64–71, n=135)75% (744–249, n=993)50% (6–6, n=12)55% (201–167, n=368)
Consensus PnL-$420K$74K-$5.9K$227K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #14was PM monthly #997PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus50% (4 of 8 open)69% (107 of 154 open)no open consensus position67% (56 of 83 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +35 pts n=17, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36%52% of 211 at avg 50¢, ROI +3%100% of 8 at avg 63¢, ROI +37%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 50% of 2)31% (won 9% of 66)0%1% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 95% of 19)27% (won 45% of 56)0%32% (won 100% of 31)
Entries 50–70¢46% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 68% of 28)75% (won 100% of 6)57% (won 100% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 100% of 18)29% (won 97% of 61)25% (won 100% of 2)10% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

26 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpGaoJin-GamblingGodHomeRunHazard
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Vikings
Vikings $90Vikings $6—Vikings $1.8K
Spread: Lakers (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $19—Bucks $3.4K
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $217—Bucks $1.7K
Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $65—Under $1.0K
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $362—Celtics $407
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Warriors $120—Rockets $83
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Cameron Norrie
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz $36KTaylor Fritz $12K——
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $114—Over $7.7K
Spread: Lakers (-13.5)
same side · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $621—Bucks $5.2K
Florida A&M Rattlers vs. Kansas City Roos
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
—Kansas City Roos $3.2K—Kansas City Roos $2.1K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $218—Over $5.0K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $86—Over $3.5K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $96—Over $2.7K
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $83—Under $2.6K
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)
same side · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $213—Trail Blazers $2.4K
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $90—Over $2.3K
Warriors vs. Rockets
same side · consensus Rockets
—Rockets $1.5K—Rockets $850
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Albany Great Danes
same side · consensus Dartmouth Big Green
Dartmouth Big Green $1.9KDartmouth Big Green $407——
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
same side · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $353—Bucks $1.8K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $542—Seahawks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Falcons
—Falcons $165—Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49—Colts $1.1K
Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Pelicans $266—Pelicans $712
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $182—Cavaliers $766
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $19—Over $430
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)
same side · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $5—Cavaliers $413
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $207—Under $186
Spread: Kansas City Roos (-8.5)
same side · consensus Kansas City Roos
—Kansas City Roos $117—Kansas City Roos $272
Spread: Celtics (-3.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
—Raptors $212—Raptors $19
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $107—Over $40
Spread: Pelicans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pelicans
—Nets $2—Nets $19