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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMulticoloured-SerfRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3300, n=7820)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)47% (266–304, n=570)48% (14109–15586, n=29695)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M-$139K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #53PM monthly #22PM monthly #21PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus72% (18 of 25 open)81% (259 of 320 open)61% (14 of 23 open)65% (102 of 157 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)47% (won 100% of 100)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)47% (won 100% of 101)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)6% (won 100% of 13)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

83 on the same side, 46 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpMulticoloured-SerfRN1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $23KNo $45K—No $20K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
—Olympique de Marseille $9.6KOlympique de Marseille $27KBayer 04 Leverkusen $352
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $12KUnder $3.4K—Under $6
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $321Yes $7.8K—No $135
Will Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $49No $7.4K—Yes $592
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440Heat $95Warriors $143
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $225KYes $67K—Yes $21K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $96KNo $64K—No $28K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43KNo $62K—No $20K
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5KYes $58K—Yes $42K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.6KOver $7.5K—Over $288
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $311No $10K—No $1.5K
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $43No $8.2K—No $430
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $4.7KSE Palmeiras $529SE Palmeiras $2.4K
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
same side · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $25PFK CSKA Sofia $2.9K—PFK CSKA Sofia $43
Will NK Celje win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $38K—No $4.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $10K—Yes $223
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $4.6K—No $5.0K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.8K—Under $5.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.7K—Over $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.5K—Over $4.5K
Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $5.3K—Yes $6
Will AZ win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2.4K—No $2.5K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.1K—Under $81
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Will K. Sint-Truidense VV win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.0K—Yes $743
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $491—Over $2.9K
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.7K—Under $414
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9K—Under $57
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.7K—Yes $16
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $994
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
—SC União Torreense $231—Ararat-Armenia FA $2.3K
Exact Score: Celtic FC 2 - 2 Beşiktaş JK?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $464
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $63
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999
—FC København $701—SK Iberia 1999 $842
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $32
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $836—Over $185
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $588—Over $336
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $600—No $300
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $806—Over $54
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $118—Yes $594
Rīga FC vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $677—Over $1
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $433—Over $10
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Thiago Monteiro
—Thiago Monteiro $350—Marco Cecchinato $77