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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1TunSahur
Record (consensus markets)58% (4527–3305, n=7832)52% (6509–6024, n=12533)48% (14163–15644, n=29807)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #52PM monthly #19PM monthly #30 + pinned—
Sides with the consensus74% (20 of 27 open)75% (141 of 188 open)63% (33 of 52 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%—
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)—
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)—
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)—
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

27 on the same side, 20 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpRN1TunSahur
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $277KDplus KIA $30——
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $28KYes $2—
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $17KNo $227—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $279Ipek Oz $678—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $851Under $8—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $81Warriors $500—
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Warriors
—Heat $444Warriors $107—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $47No $361—
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $122Over $99—
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 2 - 2 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $9No $200—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $104Over $13—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus Clube do Remo
—SE Palmeiras $29KSE Palmeiras $15K—
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato
same side · consensus Marco Cecchinato
—Marco Cecchinato $4.5KMarco Cecchinato $34K—
Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter
same side · consensus James Kent Trotter
—James Kent Trotter $1.2KJames Kent Trotter $25K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Utah vs. Canadiens
same side · consensus Utah
Utah $8.5KUtah $211——
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6.0KNo $143—
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.2KNo $165—
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Rice Owls
same side · consensus East Texas A&M Lions
East Texas A&M Lions $4.4KEast Texas A&M Lions $392——
M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba
same side · consensus Blu Baker
—Blu Baker $3.7KBlu Baker $289—
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $3.1KSE Palmeiras $748—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $3.3KOver $501—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6KOver $760—
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $2.8KRider Broncs $150——
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9KNo $770—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 7.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KUnder $634—
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.1KOver $870—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
CS Cartaginés leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $656No $685—
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $578Over $289—
Rubio Nu leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $462No $267—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Canucks vs. Jets
same side · consensus Jets
—Canucks $325Canucks $354—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192—
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $8Under $313—
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174Warriors $97—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176Under $42—