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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3296, n=7817)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)63% (990–573, n=1563)49% (6393–6579, n=12972)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$3.5M$3.2M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #67PM monthly #24PM monthly #106PM monthly #677
Sides with the consensus64% (9 of 14 open)71% (232 of 328 open)73% (81 of 111 open)54% (13 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)13% (won 15% of 168)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)20% (won 39% of 256)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)24% (won 58% of 314)22% (won 99% of 140)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)43% (won 93% of 550)53% (won 100% of 333)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpndb1youcanbuythisbot
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $20KLorenzo Musetti $18K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $14K—Yes $2
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $475No $2.4K——
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.6K—Yes $38
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25KUnder $1.1K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Under $845
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.9KOver $3.9K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $47
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. Rider Broncs
same side · consensus Rider Broncs
Rider Broncs $2.9KRider Broncs $171——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $43
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $374
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $572—Under $36
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $548—No $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $466—Yes $18
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $476—Over $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $343—Under $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $293—Under $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $223—Yes $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $1
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $138—Yes $19
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $8