Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpquietparcelRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4518–3301, n=7819)52% (6473–6009, n=12482)41% (6773–9647, n=16420)48% (14112–15590, n=29702)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.6M-$116K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #23PM monthly #257PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (16 of 24 open)73% (89 of 122 open)83% (59 of 71 open)49% (20 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MMA +2 pts n=16, ROI +2%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Mentions −4 pts, n=646—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%39% of 5625 at avg 41¢, ROI −2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)29% (won 11% of 465)58% (won 1% of 3260)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)16% (won 40% of 255)2% (won 39% of 118)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)16% (won 62% of 260)4% (won 60% of 198)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)39% (won 94% of 637)36% (won 96% of 2049)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465FlaznorpquietparcelRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11KUnder $254——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8KNo $499——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.0K—No $12
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.8K—Yes $41
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $886—Under $81
Exact Score: SE Palmeiras 1 - 0 Clube do Remo?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $318—No $359
M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
—Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $559—Jesse Flores $40
Spread: Warriors (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $440—Warriors $109
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Dplus KIA $33KDplus KIA $30——
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
same side · consensus SE Palmeiras
—SE Palmeiras $21K—SE Palmeiras $8.7K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $13K—No $43—
Cali: Leolia Jeanjean vs Alice Tubello
same side · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $2.4KAlice Tubello $2.9K——
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
same side · consensus Luciana Perry
—Sloane Stephens $1.8K—Sloane Stephens $2.2K
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
same side · consensus Joao Lucas Da Silva
—Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.1K—Joao Lucas Da Silva $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $156—Under $317
Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $451—Under $8
SE Palmeiras vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $300—Under $156
Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $8—Under $323
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $138—Yes $192
Spread: Warriors (-8.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Warriors $174—Warriors $97
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $196—No $63
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $42