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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Flaznorprayvanmechelen
Record (consensus markets)58% (4539–3321, n=7860)no settled market52% (6608–6142, n=12750)53% (2490–2230, n=4720)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$3.6M$12K
Tracked asPM monthly #19—PM monthly #10was PM monthly #981
Sides with the consensus58% (11 of 19 open)no open consensus position74% (82 of 111 open)53% (25 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=459, ROI +5%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2301, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1407, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +42 pts n=949, ROI +45%
  • NBA +50 pts n=20, ROI +50%
  • Tennis +47 pts n=19, ROI +42%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=136—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won59% of 7119 at avg 55¢, ROI +1%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%98% of 1031 at avg 56¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1182)—29% (won 11% of 465)2% (won 96% of 24)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1743)—16% (won 40% of 255)32% (won 98% of 333)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2080)—16% (won 62% of 260)51% (won 98% of 527)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2114)—39% (won 94% of 637)14% (won 97% of 147)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4Flaznorprayvanmechelen
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K—No $494No $304
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liu
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Zeynep Sonmez $3.5K—Claire Liu $15K—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $11K—Under $254—
Will Stabaek IF win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $213No $9
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $199Under $2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $183Under $10
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
——CD Pamplona $127SD Eibar $6
Will Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $73Yes $6
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.9KNo $1.0K
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.0KOver $6
FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $1.3KOver $9
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $9
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $913No $82
Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $604No $378
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sydney FC
——Sydney FC $961Sydney FC $10
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $875No $10
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $508No $21
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $514Over $10
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $504No $9
Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $366No $10
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
——No $214No $116
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $297No $10
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $264No $3
Charlottesville: Marcos Giron vs Clement Chidekh
same side · consensus Clement Chidekh
——Clement Chidekh $120Clement Chidekh $10
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
——Tommy Paul $45Tommy Paul $10