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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (4521–3297, n=7818)45% (10–12, n=22)50% (15507–15590, n=31097)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$5.3M$3.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #68PM monthly #2PM monthly #60PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (13 of 19 open)no open consensus position56% (112 of 199 open)58% (75 of 130 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677omnibus-076daaRN1
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.2K—Yes $486No $8.3K
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $161—Yes $2No $68
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $773—No $4.1KNo $1.5K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
——Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $14KDalibor Svrcina $1.8K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $13K—Under $20—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $60No $2.7K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $70No $2.2K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $160Over $1.9K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.3KNo $56
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $870——Renata Zarazua $482
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $4No $626
W35 Orlando, FL: Evialina Laskevich vs Aspen Schuman
opposite sides · consensus Evialina Laskevich
——Aspen Schuman $4Evialina Laskevich $399
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $206Under $9
W50 Huamantla: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Valeriya Strakhova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Tikhonova
——Anastasia Tikhonova $118Valeriya Strakhova $55
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Inter Club d'Escaldes
——Inter Club d'Escaldes $85FK Crvena zvezda $65
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $106——Yes $1
Will AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $49Yes $1
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
——Cadence Brace $4Jo-Yee Chan $36
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $7Under $29
Magic vs. Suns
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $129K—Magic $255—
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $52K—Yes $2.4K—
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $25K——Under $14
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $36Yes $11K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
same side · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
——Max Hans Rehberg $87Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $2.0K——Over $2.3K
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $20No $942
Exact Score: AC Milan 2 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC?
same side · consensus No
——No $402No $28
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $70—Yes $330—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Ivan Gakhov $149Ivan Gakhov $225
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $29——No $315
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $6Yes $257
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $34No $112
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $40—Yes $23—
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $18Yes $42
W35 Orlando, FL: Vivian Wolff vs Edda Mamedova
same side · consensus Vivian Wolff
——Vivian Wolff $16Vivian Wolff $9