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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)86% (2037–325, n=2362)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$232K$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #746PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)83% (24 of 29 open)71% (232 of 329 open)65% (30 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicMMA −1 pts, n=23—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won85% of 1982 at avg 81¢, ROI +2%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 8% of 191)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 46% of 94)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢8% (won 68% of 164)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up77% (won 98% of 1533)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $117—Under $702Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $14KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $572Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
——Whitney Osuigwe $2.1KLavinia Tanasie $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
——GenOne $2Brute $790
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Julio Cesar Porras $18Ivan Gakhov $207
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
——Greet Minnen $60Lisa Pigato $76
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $28
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
same side · consensus Luca Van Assche
——Lorenzo Musetti $19KLorenzo Musetti $35K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $16KYes $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $7.2KUnder $8.6K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
——Nuno Borges $6.1KNuno Borges $8.8K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $6.2KYes $5.4K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $1.6KYes $9.9K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KOver $3.0K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.4KNo $4.3K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
——Juan Bautista Torres $352Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.2KOver $1.9K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.1KNo $2.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $270Over $686
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
——Renata Zarazua $5Renata Zarazua $765
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $438Under $35
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $127Yes $176
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
same side · consensus Sofia Johnson
——Sofia Johnson $72Sofia Johnson $213
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $42