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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2BreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)23% (406–1397, n=1803)45% (573–710, n=1283)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)50% (20932–20600, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$87K$7.9M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #566PM monthly #3PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus50% (16 of 32 open)82% (23 of 28 open)63% (130 of 205 open)70% (32 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicMentions −3 pts, n=470———
Settled positions, side won37% of 1404 at avg 39¢, ROI +3%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢59% (won 1% of 832)11% (won 80% of 61)10% (won 57% of 2593)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢2% (won 35% of 34)35% (won 98% of 203)22% (won 94% of 5682)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 53% of 40)35% (won 100% of 201)35% (won 99% of 9181)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 97% of 498)20% (won 100% of 115)33% (won 100% of 8519)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xd32ce89f16509d3c8f8b5e9750305a5b2bc2a4c2BreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $22K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $218
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $36Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $758Yes $130
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $249
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $172
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $1.1KUnder $945
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $796