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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (281–341, n=622)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$2.3M$7.9M$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #473PM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus65% (85 of 130 open)83% (24 of 29 open)71% (194 of 275 open)57% (17 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won49% of 666 at avg 46¢, ROI +6%97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢53% (won 6% of 354)11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢3% (won 60% of 20)35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢3% (won 95% of 22)35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up41% (won 100% of 270)20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $14KOver $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $572Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $466No $529
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
——GenOne $2Brute $523
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $7Over $28
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $16KYes $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $6.2KYes $5.4K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
——Juan Bautista Torres $90Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $1.2KOver $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $1.5K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $270Over $686
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $127Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $174Under $42
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
same side · consensus Ivan Gakhov
——Julio Cesar Porras $48Julio Cesar Porras $19