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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
11122CORGIIsainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)32% (464–1001, n=1465)62% (393–245, n=638)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$656K$4.5M$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #943 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus83% (143 of 173 open)0% (0 of 4 open)no open consensus position72% (78 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −12 pts, n=66———
Settled positions, side won31% of 1672 at avg 30¢, ROI −1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢66% (won 4% of 1099)9% (won 92% of 36)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 39% of 94)56% (won 99% of 223)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 62% of 102)33% (won 100% of 133)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 98% of 377)2% (won 100% of 7)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market11122CORGIIsainttroplayBreakTheBank
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $52K——Yes $272K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $22K——No $252K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $21K——Yes $169K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $310——No $88K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.3K——Yes $72K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.0K——No $40K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $20K——Yes $4.1K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7.8K——No $590
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.8K——No $184K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $300——Yes $77K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2.0K——Yes $37K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.7K——No $35K
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.7K——Yes $28K
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $6.6K——No $21K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $867——Yes $14K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.3K——Yes $4.7K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $120——Yes $2.3K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $440——Yes $1.1K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2——Yes $943