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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AmericaFirst1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (2087–1126, n=3213) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4K | $4.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #750 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (13 of 23 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 55% (86 of 155 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 1497 at avg 70¢, ROI +34% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 52% of 21) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 96% of 244) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 97% of 482) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 750) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | AmericaFirst1 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Raiders $1.1K | — | Raiders $171K | Jets $7.2K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | Jets $54 | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $2.7K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $28 | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | — | Browns $297K | Steelers $1.9K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $6.0K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $423 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $2.7K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $390 | — | — | Falcons $2.7K |
| Spread: Raiders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Raiders $11 | — | — | Jets $2.1K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $518 | — | — | Falcons $1.3K |
| Spread: Bills (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $400 | — | — | Ravens $1.4K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $415 | — | — | Over $1.3K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $734 | — | — | Ravens $647 |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Bills $286 | — | — | Ravens $21 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $378K | Bills $22K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $4.3K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $1.1K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $698 | — | — | Buccaneers $4.7K |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $232 | — | — | Bills $4.0K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) same side · consensus Falcons | Buccaneers $354 | — | — | Buccaneers $3.8K |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $55 | — | — | Bills $1.3K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-14.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $35 | — | — | Buccaneers $748 |