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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BiDiFakePolls | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (193–115, n=308) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $127K | $5.8M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #249 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (38 of 44 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 61% (19 of 31 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 85% of 226 at avg 66¢, ROI +16% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 48% of 25) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 57% of 30) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 89% of 47) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 98% of 124) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BiDiFakePolls | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $20K | — | No $184K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $6.4K | — | No $88K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $26K | — | No $35K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $51K | Ravens $696 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | Yes $37K | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $4.4K | — | No $21K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $24K | Jets $284 |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $670 | — | No $24K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $6.9K | — | No $10K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $745 | — | Yes $2.2K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.1K | Ravens $376 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $378K | Bills $395 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.6K | — | Yes $272K | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $26K | — | Yes $169K | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $171K | Raiders $5.8K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.0K | — | Yes $51K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $9.2K | — | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cardinals $1.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.7K | — | No $590 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | No $747 | — |