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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpLikaseentRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)44% (255–325, n=580)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$31K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #114PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (12 of 22 open)64% (256 of 402 open)61% (11 of 18 open)67% (156 of 234 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Soccer ±0 pts, n=23—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%41% of 331 at avg 42¢, ROI +1%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)56% (won 1% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)2% (won 14% of 7)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)3% (won 70% of 10)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)38% (won 98% of 127)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

70 on the same side, 42 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpLikaseentRN1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $63KYes $78K—Yes $20K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
—Laura Samson $596—Carole Monnet $9.0K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $484—Under $7.1K
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901
—Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K—Olympiakós SFP $32
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $104—No $5.8K
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.2K—Yes $2.9K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
—Alice Tubello $3.1K—Marina Bassols Ribera $1.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $3.4K—Tomas Machac $1.2K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.8K—Over $14
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.2K——Yes $96
FC Porto leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.7K—Yes $550
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $163—No $2.9K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.0K—Yes $1.3K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.4K—Eduardo Ribeiro $645
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $56—No $1.6K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.6K—Under $22
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $78—No $1.4K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $370—Under $1.0K
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $215—Over $1.2K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $10—Solana Sierra $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $237—Hawks $430
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $325—Thunder $273
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $390—Over $5
W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann
opposite sides · consensus Oceane Dodin
—Oceane Dodin $281—Eva Bennemann $99
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
—Anna Siskova $274—Marie Weckerle $55
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $202—Grizzlies $119
Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $236—No $27
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $125—Trail Blazers $99
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $116—Over $86
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $21—No $132
Spread: Hawks (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Wizards
—Hawks $30—Wizards $94
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $50—Yes $63
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $111
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $73—No $28
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $26—No $15
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $300KNo $45K——
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $101K—No $4.3K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $25K—No $907
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
—Matteo Berrettini $7.9K—Matteo Berrettini $14K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
—Olympiakós SFP $21K—Olympiakós SFP $109
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $15K—No $5.3K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Under $4.0K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $8.4K—Over $7.1K