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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpMulticoloured-SerfRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6510–6010, n=12520)47% (266–304, n=570)47% (14126–15613, n=29739)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M-$186K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24PM monthly #21PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (19 of 29 open)72% (208 of 288 open)50% (5 of 10 open)60% (18 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)0% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)47% (won 100% of 100)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)47% (won 100% of 101)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)6% (won 100% of 13)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpMulticoloured-SerfRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Over $1.5K
W75 Petange: Dalma Galfi vs Amandine Hesse
opposite sides · consensus Amandine Hesse
—Dalma Galfi $676—Amandine Hesse $10K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $572—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
—GenOne $2—Brute $519
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14—Under $181
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $145Yes $14—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7—Over $28
W35 Liberec: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Pia Lovric
opposite sides · consensus Pia Lovric
—Pia Lovric $21—Oriana Gniewkowska $5
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana
same side · consensus Sorana Cirstea
—Sorana Cirstea $28K—Sorana Cirstea $21K
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
same side · consensus Bayer 04 Leverkusen
—Olympique de Marseille $1.3KOlympique de Marseille $23K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6.2K—Yes $5.5K
Bratislava 2: Jurij Rodionov vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Jurij Rodionov $738—Jurij Rodionov $8.2K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.2K—Over $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9—Over $1.5K
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $261—Over $664
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $736Under $181—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $127—Yes $176
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $42