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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1x-MoneyForWhiskas
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)90% (1476–161, n=1637)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.6M$14.8M$190K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #346
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)75% (190 of 253 open)53% (41 of 77 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Crypto +29 pts n=593, ROI +25%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%96% of 593 at avg 67¢, ROI +25%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)3% (won 27% of 15)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)10% (won 83% of 59)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)40% (won 98% of 239)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)47% (won 100% of 280)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

32 on the same side, 18 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1x-MoneyForWhiskas
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.6K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $5.8KTaylor Fritz $2.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $351Over $791—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471No $529—
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $268Ipek Oz $680—
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $528Under $86—
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $348Under $81—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $225Hornets $116—
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $70Juan Carlos Prado $268—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—76ers $188Cavaliers $108—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31No $12—
Will Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $30Yes $3—
Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig
—Eintracht Braunschweig $8FC Energie Cottbus $21—
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $20KNo $22K—
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.9KNo $15K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $5.0KAnastasia Zakharova $12K—
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.9KYes $10K—
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5KOver $5.9K—
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $953No $6.5K—
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1KNo $2.5K—
Will Bursaspor win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.7KNo $1.6K—
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.8KNo $1.4K—
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.7KOver $777—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K—
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $942No $814—
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $383Over $1.2K—
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KUnder $444—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Juan Bautista Torres $41Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104Under $1.1K—
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $64Julia Riera $1.1K—
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $760Yes $303—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $4No $690—
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $469No $172—
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $469Under $25—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Kings
—Kings $357Kings $110—
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov
same side · consensus Jurij Rodionov
—Kimmer Coppejans $5Kimmer Coppejans $419—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $139Yes $192—
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
same side · consensus Francesco Maestrelli
—Carlo Alberto Caniato $18Carlo Alberto Caniato $297—
Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $264No $41—
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $293Under $2—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $177Under $42—
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $44Under $73—