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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | e46m3 | Flaznorp | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 95% (310–15, n=325) | 17% (156–789, n=945) | 49% (33–34, n=67) | 67% (4–2, n=6) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4M | $536K | $35K | -$82K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #68 |
| Sides with the consensus | 84% (32 of 38 open) | 74% (324 of 437 open) | 70% (176 of 253 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −6 pts, n=17 | NFL −24 pts, n=12 | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% | 56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 38% (won 18% of 2197) | 30% (won 9% of 919) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 7% (won 53% of 397) | 15% (won 37% of 455) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 9% (won 71% of 531) | 14% (won 63% of 439) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 97% of 2679) | 42% (won 94% of 1302) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.