Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBanke46m3Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)75% (11522–3911, n=15433)52% (6450–5961, n=12411)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$680K$3.3M$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #1PM monthly #24PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus68% (23 of 34 open)61% (360 of 593 open)72% (143 of 199 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +44 pts n=106, ROI +69%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1123, ROI +27%
  • MLB +19 pts n=52, ROI +21%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NFL −6 pts, n=17Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%62% of 5423 at avg 55¢, ROI +29%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)38% (won 19% of 2052)29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)7% (won 53% of 368)16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)9% (won 72% of 497)17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)46% (won 97% of 2506)38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBanke46m3Flaznorpprimm
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $407KYes $17——
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12KYes $82——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.0KYes $284——
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $24No $364—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $278KYes $98——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22KYes $9——
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $297——
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13KYes $11——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $6——
Exact Score: FC København 0 - 5 SK Iberia 1999?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $3.6K—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.4KYes $535——
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $62No $1.8K—
Reus FC Reddis vs. Barakaldo CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $332Over $49—
Spread: Shahdag Qusar FK (-2.5)
same side · consensus Energetik Mingechevir
—Energetik Mingechevir $7Energetik Mingechevir $351—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $217Over $52—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $130No $91—
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
same side · consensus No
Yes $50Yes $40——