← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Elias.Thornwell | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (10074–2842, n=12916) | 45% (537–650, n=1187) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $84 | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #837 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 93% (282 of 303 open) | 81% (58 of 72 open) | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 3321 at avg 90¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 60% of 98) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 3% (won 96% of 98) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 5% (won 98% of 168) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 89% (won 100% of 2957) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.