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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHaradwaithprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6520–6024, n=12544)40% (3385–5153, n=8538)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)47% (14133–15621, n=29754)
Consensus PnL$3.5M-$465K$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #23PM monthly #279PM monthly #46PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus69% (279 of 403 open)70% (377 of 542 open)no open consensus position58% (93 of 160 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +3 pts n=10, ROI +20%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Weather −6 pts, n=556——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%39% of 3845 at avg 42¢, ROI −2%99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)53% (won 3% of 2055)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)4% (won 35% of 170)41% (won 99% of 412)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)5% (won 54% of 178)50% (won 99% of 503)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)38% (won 89% of 1442)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

78 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHaradwaithprimmRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $8.2K——Yes $66
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.7K——Over $3.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
Daniel Milavsky $743——Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.3K——Dalibor Svrcina $1.8K
Crystal Palace FC vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.9K——Over $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.7K——Over $470
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe
opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe
Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K——Lavinia Tanasie $5
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
Julia Riera $1.3K——Renata Zarazua $482
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $880——Over $725
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.2K——Under $322
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $216——Under $1.2K
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $818——Yes $224
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $340——No $585
Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $682——Yes $91
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen
Greet Minnen $686——Lisa Pigato $48
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $78——Yes $640
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $554——Yes $125
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $6——Over $502
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $308——Yes $20
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $295——Over $13
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $23——Ivan Gakhov $225
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson
Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $17——Sofia Johnson $213
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $180——Over $7
W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace
opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace
Cadence Brace $60——Jo-Yee Chan $36
Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $54——Under $29
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $74——Over $7
FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $62——Under $4
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $29
Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13——Yes $4
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $11——Yes $4
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $31K——Under $2.8K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16K——Yes $11K
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $22K——No $1.9K
Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.5K——Yes $19K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $8.1K——Under $9.8K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $7.2K——No $8.3K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $14K——Under $592
Spread: NEC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AS Omónoia Leukosías
AS Omónoia Leukosías $13K——AS Omónoia Leukosías $3
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $11K——No $334
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $10K——Under $128
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $8.8K——No $1.2K
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)
same side · consensus Ferencvárosi TC
Ferencvárosi TC $6.4K——Ferencvárosi TC $3.0K