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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | lava-lava | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6509–6024, n=12533) | 43% (441–589, n=1030) | 63% (989–572, n=1561) | 48% (14163–15644, n=29807) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.6M | $1.3M | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #53 | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (130 of 176 open) | 57% (43 of 76 open) | 69% (59 of 86 open) | 58% (22 of 38 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Finance −15 pts, n=14 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 41% of 880 at avg 39¢, ROI +2% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 48% (won 8% of 421) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 16% (won 38% of 140) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 15% (won 70% of 131) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 21% (won 96% of 188) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
19 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | lava-lava | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | — | No $529 |
| W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini | Diletta Cherubini $279 | — | — | Ipek Oz $678 |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $81 | — | — | Warriors $500 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Heat $444 | — | — | Warriors $107 |
| Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $408 | — | — | Over $82 |
| Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Monteiro vs Marco Cecchinato same side · consensus Marco Cecchinato | Marco Cecchinato $4.5K | — | — | Marco Cecchinato $34K |
| Charlottesville: Andres Andrade vs James Kent Trotter same side · consensus James Kent Trotter | James Kent Trotter $912 | — | — | James Kent Trotter $19K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | No $14K | — | — | No $2.5K |
| M25 Guadalajara: Blu Baker vs Rafael De Alba same side · consensus Blu Baker | Blu Baker $3.7K | — | — | Blu Baker $289 |
| Will CS Cartaginés win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | — | No $1.7K |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K |
| CS Cartaginés leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $656 | — | — | No $685 |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Canucks | Canucks $22 | — | — | Canucks $1.2K |
| Stars vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $858 | — | — | Under $322 |
| Rubio Nu vs. Sportivo Luqueno: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $578 | — | — | Over $289 |
| Rubio Nu leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | No $462 | — | — | No $267 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $702 | — | — | Under $20 |
| Canucks vs. Jets same side · consensus Jets | Canucks $273 | — | — | Canucks $354 |
| Inter San Carlos vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $562 | — | — | Under $34 |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? same side · consensus No | Yes $139 | — | — | Yes $192 |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $8 | — | — | Under $313 |
| Spread: Warriors (-8.5) same side · consensus Heat | Warriors $174 | — | — | Warriors $97 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) same side · consensus Athletic Club | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246 | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $176 | — | — | Under $42 |