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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1Winning2...
Record (consensus markets)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)66% (901–474, n=1375)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)31% (882–1934, n=2816)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.5M$14.8M-$27K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #100PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #698
Sides with the consensus74% (128 of 174 open)72% (109 of 151 open)50% (13 of 26 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Tennis +5 pts n=105, ROI +3%
  • NHL +4 pts n=162, ROI 0%
  • NFL +7 pts n=70, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139—Mentions −31 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%31% of 3296 at avg 31¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)52% (won 19% of 1708)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)39% (won 39% of 1283)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)9% (won 61% of 282)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)1% (won 87% of 23)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1Winning2...
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14K—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.1K—Over $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $754—Yes $375—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466—No $529—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $831—Yes $61—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $14—Under $181—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $28—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
Quentin Halys $861—Quentin Halys $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9—Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $102—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $249—Under $48—
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
Harold Mayot $155—Harold Mayot $123—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $116—Yes $161—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174—Under $42—