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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.8M$14.8M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #97PM monthly #32 + pinnedHand-picked
Sides with the consensus67% (102 of 152 open)72% (108 of 149 open)60% (18 of 30 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +4 pts n=592, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%56% of 736 at avg 51¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)4% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)40% (won 50% of 298)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)51% (won 59% of 375)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1weflyhigh
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $5.5K—Claire Liu $3.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851—Yes $326—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
No $2.2KNo $18K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Under $29—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $706—No $14—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $29—