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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRN1Scrip-scrip
Record (consensus markets)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)50% (1151–1158, n=2309)47% (14701–16266, n=30967)42% (5–7, n=12)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$3.6M$14.8M$70K
Tracked asPM monthly #10PM monthly #63PM monthly #36 + pinnedPM monthly #377
Sides with the consensus76% (224 of 296 open)56% (5 of 9 open)54% (85 of 157 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 5 at avg 59¢, ROI +43%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)0%
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)100% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

48 on the same side, 41 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRN1Scrip-scrip
Iowa State vs. Baylor
opposite sides · consensus Baylor
—Iowa State $16KBaylor $21K—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $27K—Over $1.5K—
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $24K—Yes $1.2K—
Texas A&M vs. South Carolina
opposite sides · consensus South Carolina
—Texas A&M $2.5KSouth Carolina $22K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $6.2K—Over $3.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.4K—Under $305—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $5.2K—Under $19—
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $981—Yes $4.2K—
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Hull City AFC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.6K—Yes $362—
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Alabama
—Alabama $4.2KLSU $39—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.2K—Under $2.6K—
Spread: Delaware (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Delaware
—Delaware $2.1KKennesaw State $1.6K—
Arkansas vs. Auburn
opposite sides · consensus Auburn
Auburn $33Arkansas $3.5K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Newcastle United FC
Newcastle United FC $2.5K—Fulham FC $48—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $963—Over $1.2K—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $368—Under $1.7K—
Eyüpspor vs. Kocaelispor: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $67—Over $1.8K—
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $57—Yes $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Jan Simonsson
opposite sides · consensus Adrian Mannarino
Adrian Mannarino $1.8K—Jan Simonsson $7—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $396—Over $979—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $524—
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $245—Yes $715—
Exact Score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 - 3 FC Bayern München?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $910—
Manchester City FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $45—No $797—
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Fulham FC
Fulham FC $776—Newcastle United FC $2—
Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $55—Yes $547—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $15—Under $282—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 0 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151—Yes $38—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $83—Under $88—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3—No $140—
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $136—Under $6—
Wrexham AFC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $115—Under $11—
Exact Score: Leeds United FC 1 - 3 Tottenham Hotspur FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $19—Yes $50—
1. FC Nürnberg vs. SV Darmstadt 98: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7—Over $8—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $190K—Yes $27K—
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $90K—Yes $27K—
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $109K—Over $4.7K—
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $53K—No $4.4K—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus Hull City AFC
Hull City AFC $50K—Hull City AFC $816—
Villa Maria: Federico Coria vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
same side · consensus Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Federico Coria $1.3K—Federico Coria $41K—
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $29K—Under $11K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz $23K—Carlos Alcaraz $9.8K—
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $24K—No $6.1K—