Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
FlaznorprainbowliliesRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)42% (2932–4051, n=6983)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$156K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #618PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus74% (140 of 190 open)63% (125 of 198 open)46% (17 of 37 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +2 pts n=305, ROI 0%
  • Tech +3 pts n=239, ROI +1%
  • Esports +4 pts n=64, ROI +1%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Soccer −1 pts, n=547—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%7% of 6090 at avg 5¢, ROI 0%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)97% (won 5% of 5884)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)2% (won 36% of 107)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)1% (won 69% of 61)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)1% (won 84% of 38)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorprainbowliliesRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $354—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476—Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $291—Ipek Oz $680
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Kilian Feldbausch
Kilian Feldbausch $123—Sumit Nagal $670
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Zsombor Piros
opposite sides · consensus Zsombor Piros
Dalibor Svrcina $3—Zsombor Piros $579
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $38—Over $153
FC UTA Arad leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $50—Yes $3
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31—No $12
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K—No $9.8K
Will FC Petrolul Ploieşti win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
No $2.0K—No $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
FC UTA Arad vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Under $102
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176—Under $42
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 225.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $86—Under $9