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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GoalLineGhostRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)48% (5825–6275, n=12100)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL-$1.8M$13.4M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #164PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus66% (86 of 130 open)64% (88 of 138 open)71% (58 of 82 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +30 pts n=4651, ROI +23%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won99% of 4651 at avg 69¢, ROI +23%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 95% of 414)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 98% of 494)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 99% of 1015)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 2728)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

35 on the same side, 32 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGoalLineGhostRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $51Browns $300K—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $3.4KBrowns $259K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $255Raiders $105K—
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $34KOver $29K——
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $23Cardinals $32K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $39Falcons $8.6K—
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-31?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.3KNo $5.4K——
Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.1KYes $298——
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.6KOver $277——
Will US Lecce win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6KNo $2.7K——
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC
Arsenal FC $3.7KLiverpool FC $44——
Will Bohemians Praha 1905 win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.8KYes $627——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $611Cardinals $2.7K—
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3KOver $98——
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $235Under $2.0K——
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8KUnder $234——
Will Elche CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0KYes $37——
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.7KUnder $3——
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $775Yes $296——
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $887Over $91——
Elche CF leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $684Yes $246——
Will Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $169Yes $751——
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $862Over $12——
US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $776Over $86——
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Liverpool FC
Liverpool FC $797Arsenal FC $4——
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $13Under $436——
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $9Yes $231——
Genoa CFC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $115No $110——
AEK Athens leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14No $149——
Brøndby IF vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $4Under $98——
Will Campobasso FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $100No $1——
Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $20No $22——
Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $7.6KNo $22K——
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $14KNo $13K——
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $7.3K——
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $16KUnder $6.1K——
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-31?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7.5KYes $10K——
Spread: Eintracht Frankfurt (-1.5)
same side · consensus Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV $4.4KHamburger SV $8.0K——
Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $6.7KUnder $3.0K——
Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.7KUnder $5.0K——
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $3.7KUnder $2.7K——
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $881No $3.1K——
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.8KOver $2.2K——
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2KNo $1.2K——
Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais $1.7KOlympique Lyonnais $1.3K——
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1.8KNo $482——
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.9KUnder $65——
Spread: US Lecce (-1.5)
same side · consensus Genoa CFC
Genoa CFC $1.7KGenoa CFC $178——
Spread: PAOK Thessaloniki (-1.5)
same side · consensus PAOK Thessaloniki
PAOK Thessaloniki $544PAOK Thessaloniki $797——
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $95No $1.1K——