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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| GollumGekko | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 68% (1343–636, n=1979) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $235K | $5.8M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #774 + pinned | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (121 of 156 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 64% (97 of 151 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 80% of 2114 at avg 75¢, ROI +3% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 12% of 377) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 4% (won 57% of 80) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 76% of 145) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 72% (won 98% of 1512) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | GollumGekko | beachboy4 | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Steelers $5.5K | Browns $255K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $149 | — | — | No $252K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Jets $192 | Raiders $171K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $11K | Cardinals $59K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $1.9K | — | — | No $35K |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.7K | — | — | No $18K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Jets $400 | Raiders $17K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | Falcons $8.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $745 | — | — | Yes $2.2K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.3K | — | — | Yes $272K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $14K | — | — | Yes $169K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $2.3K | Raiders $104K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $704 | — | — | No $40K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $714 | Cardinals $35K |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $866 | — | — | Yes $28K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $1.1K | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $643 | Jaguars $20K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $503 | — | — | Yes $4.7K |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | — | No $747 |