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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
JhonAlexanderHinestrozaprimmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)54% (1409–1220, n=2629)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$233K$3.6M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked asPM monthly #175PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (21 of 37 open)57% (86 of 152 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +44 pts n=102, ROI +43%
  • Soccer +16 pts n=1613, ROI +8%
  • NFL +20 pts n=29, ROI +15%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won75% of 1749 at avg 58¢, ROI +10%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 47% of 217)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 64% of 443)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 79% of 580)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 93% of 509)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 19 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketJhonAlexanderHinestrozaprimmRN1S-Works
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Panthers $6.6KBroncos $45K—
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
—Commanders $285Rams $17K—
Spread: Lions (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $11KLions $4.7K—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $133Rams $13K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6.8KUnder $4.5K—
Spread: Lions (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $1.2KLions $8.3K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $131Giants $8.6K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.8KOver $1.4K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K—
Spread: Lions (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Lions $2.0KDolphins $3.5K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $1.9K—
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $97Over $5.0K—
Lions vs. Dolphins: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $5.0KOver $99—
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $745Rams $4.1K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.6KOver $142—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $94Cowboys $4.5K—
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $958Browns $2.8K—
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $50Browns $3.5K—
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lions
—Dolphins $267Lions $787—
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $48KChiefs $13K—
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $5.6KEagles $11K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KUnder $7.5K—
Spread: Lions (-14.5)
same side · consensus Dolphins
—Dolphins $1.6KDolphins $5.8K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
—Eagles $3.4KEagles $217—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $924Over $567—
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Saints $16Saints $1.4K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $14—