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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Parz1vaIRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)73% (2208–813, n=3021)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$779K$13.4M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #393 + pinnedPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus83% (40 of 48 open)54% (64 of 119 open)72% (73 of 101 open)68% (13 of 19 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicElections −4 pts, n=126———
Settled positions, side won69% of 3745 at avg 67¢, ROI +2%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 9% of 720)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 40% of 323)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 62% of 517)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up58% (won 95% of 2185)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketParz1vaIRN1BreakTheBankprimm
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $39K—Yes $77K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $21K—Yes $37K—
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $13K—Yes $28K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $2.7K—Buccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
—Ravens $647—Bills $4.5K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Under $2.1K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.2K—Over $8
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $434—Under $65
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.2K—Under $2.8K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $261
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $4.0K—Bills $2.7K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.9K—Yes $967—
Spread: Bills (-17.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $2.5K—Bills $282
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $629—Cardinals $1.0K
Spread: Bills (-16.5)
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $93—Bills $662