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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1sainttroplayTunSahurUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)no settled marketno settled market50% (19442–19516, n=38958)
Consensus PnL$14.8M——$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #23 + pinned——PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus43% (12 of 28 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position64% (30 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%——100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2606)——7% (won 99% of 2777)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5665)——20% (won 100% of 8217)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 9185)——22% (won 100% of 8818)
Entries 70¢ and up32% (won 100% of 8345)——51% (won 100% of 20793)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1sainttroplayTunSahurUpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $941——Under $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $382——Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $3.1K——No $3.9K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.5K——Yes $5.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5K——Under $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.9K——Under $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7——No $2.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K——Athletic Club $223
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $35——Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $47
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $162——No $288
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1——Athletic Club $347
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $90——No $139
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $20——Over $5
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $3.3K——No $3.1K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K——No $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1K——Under $945
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $44——Boluspor $1.5K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $56——Under $44