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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RememberAmalekbeachboy4CORGIIBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)61% (731–459, n=1190)68% (43–20, n=63)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$675K$5.8M$4.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #881 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #68PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus55% (61 of 110 open)100% (1 of 1 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (78 of 108 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won73% of 1140 at avg 61¢, ROI +5%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢24% (won 21% of 276)3% (won 17% of 6)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 63% of 150)29% (won 56% of 62)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 83% of 167)54% (won 51% of 115)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up48% (won 98% of 547)14% (won 86% of 29)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRememberAmalekbeachboy4CORGIIBreakTheBank
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $59K——No $411K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.4K——Yes $77K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $154——No $24K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8.4K——Yes $272K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $51K——Yes $169K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $2.1K——No $88K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $159——Yes $72K
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $64——Yes $56K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $15K——No $40K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus No
Yes $45——Yes $26K
Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23——Yes $24K
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20——Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $23——Yes $13K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20——Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15——Yes $11K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4——Yes $6.4K
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $9——Yes $5.7K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $11——Yes $943
Will Republicans win Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2——Yes $855