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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SnapElectionAvoider | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (907–846, n=1753) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $207K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #391 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (66 of 91 open) | 85% (53 of 62 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (2 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −26 pts, n=16 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 53% of 1681 at avg 48¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 42% (won 14% of 709) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 44% of 165) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 69% of 177) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 94% of 630) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.