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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SunlineTicker | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (3081–1771, n=4852) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $330K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #993 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (23 of 45 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 57% (84 of 148 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 96% of 3650 at avg 54¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 70% of 190) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 39% (won 97% of 1424) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 39% (won 98% of 1427) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 97% of 609) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SunlineTicker | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $1.3K | Magic $51K | — | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $336 | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $297K | — | Steelers $1.9K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $171K | — | Jets $10K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | — | Jets $109 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $183 | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.2K | — | — | Over $434 |
| Spread: Bengals (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Bengals | Bengals $193 | — | — | Titans $2.2K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cowboys $771 | — | — | Cardinals $629 |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 48.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $15 | — | — | Over $1.1K |
| Vikings vs. Lions: O/U 44.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $188 | — | — | Over $440 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $342 | — | — | Under $228 |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $378K | — | Bills $28K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | — | Raiders $4.3K |
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $1.4K | Magic $76K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | — | Bills $18K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $8.8K | No $40K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Lions same side · consensus Lions | Lions $2.1K | — | — | Lions $26K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | — | Raiders $2.7K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | — | Magic $161 |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $2.5K | — | — | Ravens $647 |
| Spread: Jets (-6.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $467 | — | — | Raiders $1.3K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 60.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $1.0K | — | — | Under $90 |
| Spread: Steelers (-1.5) same side · consensus Steelers | Steelers $644 | — | — | Steelers $225 |
| Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $286 | — | — | Under $213 |
| Spread: Bengals (-13.5) same side · consensus Bengals | Titans $218 | — | — | Titans $14 |