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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (17940–18403, n=36343) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 48% (12778–13831, n=26609) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4M | $10.6M | $4.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 69% (155 of 225 open) | 70% (57 of 82 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (87 of 142 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 37860 at avg 66¢, ROI +37% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 99% of 2645) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 100% of 7907) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 22% (won 100% of 8513) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 18795) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
57 on the same side, 51 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | UpTheBlues | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $22 | Cardinals $32K | — | Cowboys $23 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $186 | Falcons $8.6K | — | Buccaneers $1.3K |
| Ravens vs. Bills opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $387K | — | Ravens $703 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $300K | — | Steelers $51 |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $259K | — | Steelers $3.4K |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $135K | — | — | Over $30K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $105K | — | Jets $255 |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $17K | Raiders $16K | — | — |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $11K | — | — | Over $8.3K |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $8.6K | — | — | Over $163 |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $5.6K | — | — | Over $2.2K |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | — | — | No $4.6K |
| Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6.1K | — | — | Over $91 |
| Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $4.0K | — | — | No $1.5K |
| PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3.3K | — | — | Over $753 |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.0K | — | — | Yes $26 |
| Villa Maria: Felipe de Dios vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro opposite sides · consensus Joao Victor Couto Loureiro | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro $3.9K | — | — | Felipe de Dios $24 |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $490 | — | — | No $3.3K |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2.9K | — | — | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $755 |
| Villa Maria: Franco Ribero vs Mateo Carballo opposite sides · consensus Franco Ribero | Franco Ribero $3.4K | — | — | Mateo Carballo $2 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $2.7K | — | Cowboys $611 |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.9K | — | — | Yes $265 |
| US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: 1st Half O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.5K | — | — | Under $1.6K |
| Will CA River Plate win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.7K | — | — | Yes $183 |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $64 | — | — | No $2.6K |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $415 | — | — | Under $2.2K |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $2.1K | — | — | Yes $81 |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $28 | Bills $2.1K | — | — |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.6K | — | — | Yes $298 |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 3 - 2 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.8K | — | — | Yes $23 |
| Will Asteras Tripolis win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $130 | — | — | No $1.6K |
| Spread: Lions (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Vikings | Vikings $401 | — | — | Lions $1.3K |
| PAOK Thessaloniki vs. Asteras Tripolis: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | — | Over $396 |
| Exact Score: Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 1 Hamburger SV? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $82 | — | — | No $1.4K |
| Exact Score: Olympique Lyonnais 2 - 1 Angers SCO? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $138 | — | — | No $1.3K |
| Spread: Olympique Lyonnais (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique Lyonnais | Angers SCO $111 | — | — | Olympique Lyonnais $1.3K |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $73 | — | — | Over $1.2K |
| Olympique Lyonnais vs. Angers SCO: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.2K | — | — | Over $11 |
| US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $599 | — | — | Over $567 |
| Panathinaikos Athens vs. AEK Athens: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $27 | — | — | Under $664 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Arsenal FC | Arsenal FC $301 | — | — | Liverpool FC $44 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $63 | — | — | Over $277 |
| Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $212 | — | — | Over $98 |
| Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $30 | — | — | Yes $231 |
| Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $205 | — | — | Yes $14 |
| Paris FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $24 | — | — | No $156 |
| Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $91 | — | — | No $35 |
| Will Carrarese Calcio win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $72 | — | — | Yes $28 |
| Will Campobasso FC win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $66 | — | — | No $1 |
| Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $31 | — | — | No $22 |