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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
WordleAddictBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Record (consensus markets)59% (574–404, n=978)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$672K$10.6M$4.5M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #317 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus82% (14 of 17 open)72% (79 of 110 open)0% (0 of 4 open)56% (89 of 158 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −12 pts, n=45———
Settled positions, side won53% of 1140 at avg 50¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 9% of 383)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 44% of 151)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢18% (won 64% of 209)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up35% (won 94% of 397)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketWordleAddictBreakTheBankCORGIIRN1
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297K—Steelers $1.9K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255K—Steelers $6.0K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171K—Jets $7.2K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $72KYes $37K——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59K—Cowboys $12K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $36KNo $35K——
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17K—Jets $423
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6K—Buccaneers $2.7K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cowboys $1.4K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $378K—Bills $22K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104K—Raiders $4.3K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $36KNo $40K——
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51K—Bills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51K—Magic $228
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $30KNo $590——
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24K—Raiders $2.7K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20K—Jaguars $1.1K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12KYes $4.1K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13K—Magic $161