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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
aaabbbBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)61% (449–282, n=731)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$210K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #766PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus46% (6 of 13 open)72% (78 of 108 open)56% (84 of 149 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +30 pts n=190, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +24 pts n=84, ROI +13%
  • NFL +17 pts n=189, ROI +3%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won74% of 652 at avg 55¢, ROI +5%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢19% (won 26% of 123)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 59% of 111)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 91% of 186)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up36% (won 93% of 232)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketaaabbbBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $380Bills $378KBills $28K—
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Browns $297KSteelers $1.9K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.7KNo $252K——
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $11K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $43—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $4.3K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $51KBills $18K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $51KMagic $228—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $5.9KNo $35K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3.0KYes $37K——
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $2.7K—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $16K——
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11KYes $4.4K——
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $13KMagic $161—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.4KYes $193——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.6KYes $967——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $400Yes $1.1K——
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $128Yes $164——