Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpmorito181
Record (consensus markets)no settled market46% (560–666, n=1226)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)69% (532–242, n=774)
Consensus PnL—$11.2M$3.3M$1.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #118 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position59% (13 of 22 open)65% (283 of 438 open)81% (151 of 186 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Mentions −13 pts, n=20
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%71% of 918 at avg 70¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)22% (won 6% of 202)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)5% (won 43% of 49)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)6% (won 53% of 55)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)67% (won 96% of 612)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankFlaznorpmorito181
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $440K—Yes $21K
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $56KNo $115K—
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.7KYes $22K
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $2.5KNo $22K
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $19K
Exact Score: Al Ittihad Saudi Club 0 - 0 NEOM SC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.3KYes $6.1K
Exact Score: Al Fateh Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Riyadh Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.1KYes $1.7K
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $940Yes $2.2K
Exact Score: Al Kholood Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Khaleej Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.4KYes $1.5K
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $781Yes $14
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $788Yes $5
Exact Score: Abha Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Shabab Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $25Yes $337
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $121No $223
Will Abha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——No $93Yes $146
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
—No $642KNo $181K—