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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| lissartter | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (3366–3514, n=6880) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | -$188K | $3.5M | $10.6M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #320 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (68 of 104 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (73 of 103 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −10 pts, n=10 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 4796 at avg 65¢, ROI 0% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 19% (won 30% of 894) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 74% of 490) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 88% of 737) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 2675) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.