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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | waierma | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 47% (14123–15612, n=29735) | 50% (20930–20602, n=41532) | 75% (80–26, n=106) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.2M | $14.8M | $3.2M | $23K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #103 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #825 |
| Sides with the consensus | 68% (106 of 155 open) | 53% (17 of 32 open) | 70% (33 of 47 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% | 83% of 54 at avg 72¢, ROI +11% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) | 11% (won 50% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) | 7% (won 25% of 4) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) | 11% (won 83% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) | 70% (won 95% of 38) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
5 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | waierma |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | Under $22K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.3K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $226 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $758 | Yes $130 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $176 | No $270 | — |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $345 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $61 | No $172 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $28 | Under $12 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $20 | Over $5 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 | — |
| Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5) same side · consensus Boluspor | — | Boluspor $44 | Boluspor $1.5K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | Under $791 | — |