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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesprimmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)40% (2–3, n=5)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)75% (2542–853, n=3395)
Consensus PnL$650$3.6M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #987PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus73% (8 of 11 open)55% (16 of 29 open)56% (79 of 141 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won100% of 32 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢0%5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢0%41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢100% (won 100% of 32)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up0%5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketovertimemarkets.xyz-singlesprimmRN1S-Works
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
Browns $108Saints $958Browns $2.8K—
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
—Panthers $6.6KBroncos $45K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $6.8KUnder $4.5K—
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
—Commanders $133Rams $10K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $131Giants $8.6K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $6.8KOver $1.4K—
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $97Over $6.2K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.3KOver $1.9K—
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.6KOver $142—
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Saints $50Browns $3.5K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $94Cowboys $3.2K—
Spread: Cowboys (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $164—Cowboys $2.4K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $273—Cowboys $633—
FC Utrecht vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $270—No $2—
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Eagles
—Eagles $5.6KEagles $11K—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.3KUnder $7.5K—
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $290—Colts $6.9K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
—Eagles $3.4KEagles $217—
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K—
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Saints $16Saints $1.4K—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $924Over $445—
Olympiacos Piraeus vs. PAOK Thessaloniki: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $103—Over $285—
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $14—